There are few more exciting, or potentially profitable, races than the Melbourne Cup, known as the race that stops a nation. At the Melbourne racetracks, there are plenty of incredible sights to see from beautiful equine precision to famous celebrities like Rose Byrne (pictured here in 2012). Celebrities are certainly no stranger when it comes to the Melbourne Cup so if you don’t enjoy horses, go for the star-studded glamour. But whether you are Rose Byrne or just a one-day spectator, what are some of the best horse race tips for the Melbourne Cup? And how can you make this cup pay dividends to you?
Research the race
As any celebrity or even a general spectator knows, the key to picking a winning racehorse is research. This is a very general tip but it is also one that people so often neglect. Horses should never be picked because you have a good feeling. The fact is your instincts and feelings do not necessarily translate to winning horses, but exceptional amounts of time and research can. This is why any celebrities who bet at the horse races oftentimes will have a team of individuals who study various stats, figures, and data to determine who is most likely to win a race. This does not always translate into wins but it’s certainly better than random guessing or instinctual choices. What are some of the finer details that you should look at when determining the best horse racing tips for the Melbourne Cup?
Analyse both course and distance
As any celebrity research team or professional horse race better can tell you, the most important aspect of doing your research is to determine the track and distance and how that can affect how well your horse of choice races. Of course, one of the most important of all factors is to look at the statistical data and see how well this particular horse has raced at this particular distance before. If this is a brand-new horse or it has never raced at this distance before, it is a much more difficult bet than a horse that has traditionally done very well on these courses in the past. Not every horse is good for every distance. Some horses are exceptional over a few hundred meters and others are great last-minute sprinters but take time to accelerate. This is an important thing to consider: does your horse break early but then loses speed? Or does your horse of choice break late and make gains towards the end? Using these early or late breaking factors in conjunction with the distance of the course and your horse’s previous race history are all excellent horse race tips for the Melbourne Cup and how you can start to turn your research into money.
Was the horse flown in?
If your research team did their work correctly, then they would easily be able to tell you whether a given horse in a race was brought in for this specific race from another track or area. This is an incredibly important thing to consider because horses that are brought in from overseas or other tracks are more likely to win as there is the added pressure and additional cost of transporting them. People who own race horses do not send their horses to the track to lose. The more expense involved in sending an elite racehorse to a track, the more likely it is that it has had a significantly larger amount of training and its owner seems to think he has a winner. Although this is not the most important factor to consider, it is definitely one that should be looked at.
How long since its last race?
Horses, like human athletes, require constant training to stay in their peak physical shape. One of the best horse racing tips for the Melbourne Cup available is to determine when the last time was this particular horse raced. If a horse has not had an adequate amount of time between races or has had too much time, this will have a significant negative impact on their overall race even if statistically they have been a winning horse before. It is not uncommon for horses to get 30 to 60 days rest between major races. The fine horses at the Melbourne Cup are no different requiring 1 – 2 months of recuperation time between significant outputs of athletic energy. If, however, a horse has had a race more recently, perhaps two or three weeks ago, then it may not yet be fully recovered and even a winning horse that is still weakened from the last race can lose a cup. The effect is even more noticeable if the horse has not raced in the last 6 months or more. A horse that has not run for many months is likely to perform very poorly as it has not gotten the right conditioning that only race life can give it.
So whether you are one of the many celebrities at the Melbourne Cup or just a casual betting man, utilising these horse racing tips for the Melbourne Cup can help change your bet from a statistical anomaly to a winner.